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Consensus PnL $32K · win rate 65% (457–241, n=698) · PM monthly #587 · no open consensus position

0xfcda969d...9221eeccPolymarket
⚖️Arb🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$32.4K

Record

457W / 241L

Win Rate

65.0%

of 698 settled

Batting Avg

0.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#927

Source

PM monthly #587

Trades

107

Markets

1,143

Volume

$783.0K

Specialties

388 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 64¢
  • Crypto

    +36 pts

    side won 100% of 388 · avg entry 64¢

    ROI +40%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 11)
  • 30–50¢: 15%(won 100% of 58)
  • 50–70¢: 46%(won 100% of 178)
  • 70¢ and up: 36%(won 100% of 141)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.