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Consensus PnL -$5.0K · win rate 54% (113–96, n=209) · was PM monthly #805 · holds 1 consensus position
0x48c938b5...407ce829Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-5.0K
Record
113W / 96L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 209 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1523
Source
PM monthly #805
Trades
48
Markets
212
Volume
$290.3K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?Yes $99 · now 99¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (72% of 47)
Specialties
184 settled consensus markets · held side won 62% at an average entry of 59¢- Soccer
+4 pts
side won 63% of 178 · avg entry 59¢
ROI −1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 0% of 13)
- 30–50¢: 21%(won 46% of 39)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 62% of 81)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 90% of 51)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.