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Consensus PnL $53K · win rate 73% (3396–1288, n=4684) · PM monthly #417 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x84389cfc...69de3680Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$53.2K
Record
3396W / 1288L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 4684 settled
Batting Avg
83.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#617
Source
PM monthly #417
Trades
435
Markets
6,792
Volume
$1.0M
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp $34 · now 100¢ · in at 97¢with the consensus (79% of 14)
- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETDown $17 · now 100¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (89% of 19)
- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp $10 · now 100¢ · in at 87¢with the consensus (71% of 17)
Specialties
1,520 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 81¢- Crypto
+15 pts
side won 95% of 1517 · avg entry 81¢
ROI +23%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 61% of 38)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 89% of 117)
- 50–70¢: 17%(won 93% of 260)
- 70¢ and up: 73%(won 98% of 1105)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.