Consensus PnL $5.2K · win rate 0% (0–2, n=2) · was PM monthly #989 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$5.2K
Record
0W / 2L
Win Rate
0.0%
of 2 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2292
Source
PM monthly #989
Trades
152
Markets
11
Volume
$29.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes $35K · now 1¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (89% of 9)
Specialties
6 settled consensus markets · held side won 0% at an average entry of 5¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Aviatorul's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 100%(won 0% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.