Consensus PnL $17K · win rate 58% (232–169, n=401) · PM monthly #927 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$17.2K
Record
232W / 169L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 401 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1297
Source
PM monthly #927
Trades
72
Markets
431
Volume
$253.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: Bears (-5.5)Seahawks $74 · now 76¢ · in at 76¢against the consensus (Bears)
Specialties
206 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 54¢- NBA
+47 pts
side won 100% of 65 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +48%
- Other Sports
+53 pts
side won 100% of 20 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +50%
- College Football
+48 pts
side won 95% of 38 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +54%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 45%(won 91% of 92)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 93% of 71)
- 70¢ and up: 18%(won 97% of 38)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.