College Football: what top Polymarket traders hold
NCAA football games and futures. These are the College Football markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 5
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 123 of 250
- Prices as of
- Nov 1, 14:42 UTC
Live College Football consensus markets (5)
- Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Traders hold Yes 71%5 of 7 tradersMarket price 14¢$8K heldagainst the market price
- Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Traders hold No 50%3 of 6 tradersMarket price 77¢$7K held
- Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Traders hold No 33%2 of 6 tradersMarket price 81¢$5K held
- Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Traders hold No 17%1 of 6 tradersMarket price 93¢$595 held
- Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Traders hold No 20%1 of 5 tradersMarket price 93¢$6K held
Top traders in College Football
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled College Football consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.TimeTraveler+56 ptsside won 97% of 329 · avg entry 41¢ · ROI +54%
- 2.hi774c+53 ptsside won 100% of 215 · avg entry 47¢ · ROI +53%
- 3.Forecastication2+52 ptsside won 100% of 335 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +53%
- 4.UpTheBlues+51 ptsside won 100% of 738 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +50%
- 5.SnakeBall+52 ptsside won 100% of 240 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +51%
- 6.Scotty155+64 ptsside won 83% of 36 · avg entry 20¢ · ROI +66%
- 7.SunflowaRebuildYear+53 ptsside won 100% of 83 · avg entry 47¢ · ROI +54%
- 8.0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks+49 ptsside won 100% of 426 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +45%
- 9.neymar1+68 ptsside won 100% of 15 · avg entry 32¢ · ROI +64%
- 10.primm+49 ptsside won 100% of 511 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +47%
Recently settled College Football markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- Will Ohio State have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Result: NoTraders held No 80%consensus was right
- Spread: Oregon State (-6.5)Result: Fresno StateTraders held Fresno State 74%consensus was right
- Oregon State vs. Fresno State: O/U 57.5Result: OverTraders held Under 54%consensus was wrong
- Oregon State vs. Fresno State: O/U 59.5Result: OverTraders held Over 50%consensus was right
- Oregon State vs. Fresno State: O/U 55.5Result: OverTraders held Over 40%consensus was right
- Oregon State vs. Fresno State: O/U 63.5Result: UnderTraders held Over 67%consensus was wrong
- Oregon State vs. Fresno State: O/U 69.5Result: UnderTraders held Under 67%consensus was right
- Oregon State vs. Fresno StateResult: Fresno StateTraders held Fresno State 66%consensus was right
- Spread: Oregon State (-7.5)Result: Fresno StateTraders held Fresno State 47%consensus was right
- Spread: Oregon State (-5.5)Result: Fresno StateTraders held Fresno State 56%consensus was right
- Spread: Oregon State (-4.5)Result: Fresno StateTraders held Fresno State 63%consensus was right
- Spread: Boise State (-14.5)Result: Texas StateTraders held Texas State 18%consensus was right
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.