
Consensus PnL $166K · win rate 100% (82–0, n=82) · hand-picked wallet · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$166.1K
Record
82W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 82 settled
Batting Avg
75.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
1,332
Markets
97
Volume
$26.6M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes $506K · now 19¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (75% of 53)
Specialties
94 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 100¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 94)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.