Consensus PnL $15K · win rate 78% (211–58, n=269) · was PM monthly #979 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$15.2K
Record
211W / 58L
Win Rate
78.0%
of 269 settled
Batting Avg
23.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#495
Source
PM monthly #979
Trades
614
Markets
486
Volume
$643.5K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under $25 · now 81¢ · in at 48¢with the consensus (67% of 6)
Specialties
243 settled consensus markets · held side won 71% at an average entry of 72¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where ER72SEN's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 71% of 243 at an average 72¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI −1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 16%(won 10% of 40)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 31% of 16)
- 50–70¢: 11%(won 50% of 26)
- 70¢ and up: 66%(won 93% of 161)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.