Consensus PnL $15K · win rate 50% (28–28, n=56) · was PM monthly #872 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$14.7K
Record
28W / 28L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 56 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1901
Source
PM monthly #872
Record (90 d)
27/55 · 49%
Trades
16
Markets
59
Volume
$158.1K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)Bulls $570 · now 55¢ · in at 53¢against the consensus (76ers)
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Bulls $524 · now 48¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (76ers)
Specialties
55 settled consensus markets · held side won 49% at an average entry of 49¢- NBA
+8 pts
side won 56% of 41 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 56%(won 48% of 31)
- 50–70¢: 42%(won 52% of 23)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.