Consensus PnL $2.4K · win rate 48% (129–137, n=266) · PM monthly #961 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$2.4K
Record
129W / 137L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 266 settled
Batting Avg
62.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1281
Source
PM monthly #961
Record (90 d)
50/95 · 53%
Trades
10
Markets
280
Volume
$345.0K
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Specialties
255 settled consensus markets · held side won 48% at an average entry of 49¢- NBA
+21 pts
side won 72% of 36 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +24%
Weakest: Other Sports — held side won 41% of 121 at an average 48¢ entry (−7 pts against the price), ROI −6%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 20% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 51%(won 48% of 129)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 49% of 112)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.