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C1
Consensus PnL $26K · win rate 39% (398–626, n=1024) · was PM monthly #385 · holds 1 consensus position
0xc1737e2d...d0e726eePolymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$26.1K
Record
398W / 626L
Win Rate
39.0%
of 1024 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2111
Source
PM monthly #385
Trades
63
Markets
1,528
Volume
$694.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp $17 · now 35¢ · in at 41¢with the consensus (69% of 17)
Specialties
150 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 54¢- Crypto
+36 pts
side won 90% of 143 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +39%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 75% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 86% of 50)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 92% of 66)
- 70¢ and up: 17%(won 100% of 26)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.