Consensus PnL $28K · win rate 4% (5621–126754, n=132375) · PM monthly #553 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$28.0K
Record
5621W / 126754L
Win Rate
4.0%
of 132375 settled
Batting Avg
52.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2258
Source
PM monthly #553
Trades
1,713
Markets
151,184
Volume
$3.8M
Specialties
3,788 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 34¢- Crypto
+66 pts
side won 100% of 3788 · avg entry 34¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 49%(won 100% of 1873)
- 30–50¢: 11%(won 100% of 407)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 100% of 873)
- 70¢ and up: 17%(won 100% of 635)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.