Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 44% (88–110, n=198) · was PM monthly #864 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$12.9K
Record
88W / 110L
Win Rate
44.0%
of 198 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1993
Source
PM monthly #864
Trades
16
Markets
199
Volume
$362.4K
Specialties
93 settled consensus markets · held side won 87% at an average entry of 42¢- Esports
+44 pts
side won 88% of 58 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +41%
- Tennis
+45 pts
side won 83% of 23 · avg entry 38¢
ROI +42%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 90% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 72%(won 84% of 67)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 100% of 15)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.