Consensus PnL -$359 · win rate 43% (127–167, n=294) · PM monthly #947 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
-$359.11
Record
127W / 167L
Win Rate
43.0%
of 294 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2294
Source
PM monthly #947
Record (90 d)
116/121 · 96%
Trades
265
Markets
316
Volume
$711.6K
Specialties
132 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 47¢- Tennis
+48 pts
side won 96% of 48 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +48%
- MLB
+48 pts
side won 94% of 31 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +45%
- NFL
+57 pts
side won 100% of 12 · avg entry 43¢
ROI +52%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 94% of 16)
- 30–50¢: 42%(won 100% of 56)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 92% of 53)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 100% of 7)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.