NFL: what top Polymarket traders hold
NFL games, spreads, totals and futures. These are the NFL markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 87
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 1 of 2
- Prices as of
- Nov 1, 14:41 UTC
Live NFL consensus markets (87)
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold No 47%9 of 19 tradersMarket price 94¢$43K held
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Traders hold Ravens 53%9 of 17 tradersMarket price 54¢$47K held
- Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 88%14 of 16 tradersMarket price 2.6¢$10K heldagainst the market price
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold No 20%3 of 15 tradersMarket price 86¢$24K held
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 73%11 of 15 tradersMarket price 7.5¢$14K heldagainst the market price
- Falcons vs. BuccaneersTraders hold Falcons 57%8 of 14 tradersMarket price 45¢$62K heldagainst the market price
- Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 86%12 of 14 tradersMarket price 3.6¢$8K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Traders hold Eagles 77%10 of 13 tradersMarket price 47¢$73K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 85%11 of 13 tradersMarket price 1.8¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Browns vs. SteelersTraders hold Steelers 64%7 of 12 tradersMarket price 65¢$51K held
- Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 67%8 of 12 tradersMarket price 12¢$28K heldagainst the market price
- Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5Traders hold Over 82%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 47¢$26K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 4.9¢$9K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 75%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 4.9¢$8K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 3.6¢$6K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 83%10 of 12 tradersMarket price 4.5¢$5K heldagainst the market price
- Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 75%9 of 12 tradersMarket price 1.1¢$1K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold No 45%5 of 11 tradersMarket price 89¢$83K held
- Chiefs vs. BroncosTraders hold Chiefs 80%8 of 11 tradersMarket price 52¢$60K held
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 73%8 of 11 tradersMarket price 6.6¢$9K heldagainst the market price
- Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5Traders hold Over 80%8 of 11 tradersMarket price 44¢$9K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 82%9 of 11 tradersMarket price 7.0¢$7K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 73%8 of 11 tradersMarket price 0.5¢$2K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 82%9 of 11 tradersMarket price 0.3¢$883 heldagainst the market price
- Raiders vs. JetsTraders hold Jets 11%1 of 10 tradersMarket price 54¢$58K held
- Ravens vs. BillsTraders hold Bills 50%5 of 10 tradersMarket price 62¢$43K held
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Traders hold Raiders 40%4 of 10 tradersMarket price 50¢$36K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 70%7 of 10 tradersMarket price 1.3¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Eagles vs. CommandersTraders hold Commanders 56%5 of 9 tradersMarket price 71¢$51K held
- Spread: Bengals (-10.5)Traders hold Titans 63%5 of 9 tradersMarket price 44¢$24K heldagainst the market price
- Titans vs. BengalsTraders hold Titans 25%2 of 9 tradersMarket price 14¢$13K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold No 33%3 of 9 tradersMarket price 98¢$8K held
- Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 89%8 of 9 tradersMarket price 4.2¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Rams (-17.5)Traders hold Chargers 100%8 of 8 tradersMarket price 82¢$75K held
- Spread: Jets (-7.5)Traders hold Raiders 88%7 of 8 tradersMarket price 75¢$39K held
- Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Traders hold Dolphins 50%4 of 8 tradersMarket price 54¢$16K held
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Traders hold Falcons 75%6 of 8 tradersMarket price 52¢$7K held
- Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Traders hold No 63%5 of 8 tradersMarket price 83¢$4K held
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 50%4 of 8 tradersMarket price 1.1¢$2K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 75%6 of 8 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$82 heldagainst the market price
- Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold No 50%4 of 8 tradersMarket price 100¢$48 held
- Spread: Rams (-14.5)Traders hold Chargers 100%7 of 7 tradersMarket price 76¢$70K held
- Spread: Browns (-3.5)Traders hold Steelers 86%6 of 7 tradersMarket price 77¢$32K held
- Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)Traders hold Colts 86%6 of 7 tradersMarket price 73¢$28K held
- Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5Traders hold Over 29%2 of 7 tradersMarket price 51¢$23K held
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Traders hold Cowboys 33%2 of 7 tradersMarket price 48¢$18K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Traders hold Dolphins 100%7 of 7 tradersMarket price 47¢$13K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Traders hold Cardinals 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 46¢$7K heldagainst the market price
- Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Traders hold Over 71%5 of 7 tradersMarket price 46¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 0.8¢$1K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 0.7¢$1K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 0.4¢$786 heldagainst the market price
- Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 0.3¢$392 heldagainst the market price
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$114 heldagainst the market price
- Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 57%4 of 7 tradersMarket price 0.1¢$29 heldagainst the market price
- Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?Traders hold Yes 50%3 of 6 tradersMarket price 47¢$99K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Traders hold Lions 67%4 of 6 tradersMarket price 48¢$86K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Jets (-9.5)Traders hold Raiders 83%5 of 6 tradersMarket price 79¢$49K held
- Spread: Steelers (-3.5)Traders hold Steelers 60%3 of 6 tradersMarket price 50¢$37K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Bengals (-21.5)Traders hold Titans 83%5 of 6 tradersMarket price 79¢$28K held
- Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)Traders hold Colts 83%5 of 6 tradersMarket price 79¢$24K held
- Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?Traders hold Yes 33%2 of 6 tradersMarket price 27¢$15K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)Traders hold Colts 50%3 of 6 tradersMarket price 45¢$14K heldagainst the market price
- Spread: Bengals (-13.5)Traders hold Bengals 50%3 of 6 tradersMarket price 49¢$4K heldagainst the market price
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold Yes 50%3 of 6 tradersMarket price 0.3¢$372 heldagainst the market price
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold No 50%3 of 6 tradersMarket price 100¢$31 held
- Spread: Commanders (-17.5)Traders hold Eagles 100%5 of 5 tradersMarket price 83¢$71K held
- Spread: Bills (-13.5)Traders hold Ravens 100%5 of 5 tradersMarket price 81¢$48K held
- Spread: Ravens (-17.5)Traders hold Bills 40%2 of 5 tradersMarket price 95¢$32K held
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Traders hold Chiefs 100%5 of 5 tradersMarket price 65¢$29K held
- Vikings vs. LionsTraders hold Lions 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 63¢$19K held
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Traders hold Chiefs 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 78¢$17K held
- Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5Traders hold Over 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 53¢$3K held
- Spread: Bears (-5.5)Traders hold Bears 20%1 of 5 tradersMarket price 25¢$3K heldagainst the market price
- Chris Godwin Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5Traders hold Over 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 54¢$2K held
- Spread: Lions (-2.5)Traders hold Vikings 100%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 42¢$2K heldagainst the market price
- Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5Traders hold Under 40%2 of 5 tradersMarket price 53¢$2K held
- Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?Traders hold Yes 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 43¢$2K heldagainst the market price
- Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?Traders hold Yes 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 7.5¢$2K heldagainst the market price
- Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Traders hold No 20%1 of 5 tradersMarket price 93¢$2K held
- Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?Traders hold Yes 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 31¢$812 heldagainst the market price
- Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North?Traders hold Yes 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 24¢$504 heldagainst the market price
- Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5Traders hold Under 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 46¢$399 heldagainst the market price
- Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Traders hold Yes 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 25¢$274 heldagainst the market price
- Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Traders hold No 20%1 of 5 tradersMarket price 94¢$199 held
- Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Traders hold Yes 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 5.3¢$184 heldagainst the market price
- Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?Traders hold No 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 100¢$24 held
Top traders in NFL
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled NFL consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.Forecastication2+53 ptsside won 100% of 161 · avg entry 47¢ · ROI +53%
- 2.SnakeBall+52 ptsside won 100% of 82 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +52%
- 3.BreakTheBank+50 ptsside won 100% of 123 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +50%
- 4.AmericaFirst1+51 ptsside won 99% of 125 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +50%
- 5.wr0ngw4yb3tt0r+50 ptsside won 100% of 113 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +50%
- 6.Basquetipster+53 ptsside won 100% of 58 · avg entry 47¢ · ROI +51%
- 7.Herdonia+49 ptsside won 100% of 127 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +48%
- 8.mooseborzoii+50 ptsside won 100% of 89 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +50%
- 9.primm+48 ptsside won 97% of 333 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +54%
- 10.SunflowaRebuildYear+52 ptsside won 100% of 57 · avg entry 48¢ · ROI +54%
Recently settled NFL markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- Will another team win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Result: NoTraders held Yes 100%consensus was wrong
- Spread: Chiefs (-13.5)Result: ChiefsTraders held Chiefs 60%consensus was right
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.