Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 99% (1154–11, n=1165) · was PM monthly #317 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$16.0K
Record
1154W / 11L
Win Rate
99.0%
of 1165 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#86
Source
PM monthly #317
Record (90 d)
838/842 · 99%
Trades
95
Markets
1,172
Volume
$17.9M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: LEGION vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerHULIGANI $31K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (54% of 38)
Specialties
844 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 99¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where LhordGryffin's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 0% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 840)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.