Consensus PnL $14K · win rate 92% (12–1, n=13) · was PM monthly #740 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$13.9K
Record
12W / 1L
Win Rate
92.0%
of 13 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#214
Source
PM monthly #740
Trades
10
Markets
15
Volume
$153.7K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Oilers vs. RangersOilers $11K · now 46¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (42% of 12)
Specialties
12 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 55¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Libratus007's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 100% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 58%(won 100% of 7)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.