Consensus PnL -$407 · win rate 46% (11–13, n=24) · was PM monthly #994 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
-$407.39
Record
11W / 13L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 24 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2180
Source
PM monthly #994
Record (90 d)
11/15 · 73%
Trades
5
Markets
26
Volume
$3.1K
Specialties
14 settled consensus markets · held side won 71% at an average entry of 52¢- Crypto
+20 pts
side won 71% of 14 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +28%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 50% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 57%(won 88% of 8)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.