Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 61% (21395–13454, n=34849) · PM monthly #780 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$18.7K
Record
21395W / 13454L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 34849 settled
Batting Avg
36.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1097
Source
PM monthly #780
Trades
2,294
Markets
82,195
Volume
$5.1M
Specialties
3,549 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 78¢- Crypto
+22 pts
side won 100% of 3549 · avg entry 78¢
ROI +25%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 97)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 100% of 271)
- 50–70¢: 17%(won 100% of 611)
- 70¢ and up: 72%(won 100% of 2570)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.