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29
Consensus PnL -$42K · win rate 46% (134–159, n=293) · PM monthly #819 · no open consensus position
0x298b2f52...5511f406Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-42.4K
Record
134W / 159L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 293 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1957
Source
PM monthly #819
Trades
142
Markets
303
Volume
$623.6K
Specialties
191 settled consensus markets · held side won 74% at an average entry of 51¢- Soccer
+24 pts
side won 76% of 182 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +23%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 25% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 32%(won 66% of 61)
- 50–70¢: 62%(won 81% of 118)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.