Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 67% (2–1, n=3) · PM monthly #787 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$23.5K
Record
2W / 1L
Win Rate
67.0%
of 3 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#872
Source
PM monthly #787
Trades
1
Markets
4
Volume
$7.5K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $3.0K · now 37¢ · in at 37¢with the consensus (65% of 54)
Specialties
2 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 36¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Oriya123's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 100%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.