Consensus PnL $24 · win rate 100% (2–0, n=2) · was PM monthly #989 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$24.23
Record
2W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 2 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#50
Source
PM monthly #989
Trades
5
Markets
5
Volume
$37.3K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No $56K · now 45¢ · in at 36¢with the consensus (75% of 12)
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No $3.2K · now 28¢ · in at 23¢with the consensus (67% of 12)
Specialties
3 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 95¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Premarbet618's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.