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QSQL

Consensus PnL -$6.5K · win rate 59% (13–9, n=22) · PM monthly #769 · no open consensus position

0x6a28e2b9...e14e75d1Polymarket
🔄Contrarian

Consensus PnL

$-6.5K

Record

13W / 9L

Win Rate

59.0%

of 22 settled

Batting Avg

100.0%

Status

Unprofitable

Win-rate rank

#1259

Source

PM monthly #769

Trades

8

Markets

23

Volume

$149.9K

Specialties

17 settled consensus markets · held side won 65% at an average entry of 53¢
  • Soccer

    +14 pts

    side won 73% of 11 · avg entry 58¢

    ROI +21%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 29%(won 20% of 5)
  • 30–50¢: 24%(won 50% of 4)
  • 50–70¢: 12%(won 100% of 2)
  • 70¢ and up: 35%(won 100% of 6)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.