RandomVibecoder

Consensus PnL $115K · win rate 35% (283–531, n=814) · PM monthly #193 · no open consensus position

0xc9f4bec8...fed8c1e4Polymarket

⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$114.8K

Record

283W / 531L

Win Rate

35.0%

of 814 settled

Batting Avg

100.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#2151

Source

PM monthly #193

Trades

347

Markets

1,732

Volume

$2.2M

Specialties

212 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 58¢

Esports
+33 pts
side won 91% of 212 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +40%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

under 30¢: 4%(won 25% of 8)
30–50¢: 16%(won 85% of 33)
50–70¢: 68%(won 95% of 144)
70¢ and up: 13%(won 93% of 27)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.