Consensus PnL -$57K · win rate 53% (662–584, n=1246) · PM monthly #377 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-57.0K
Record
662W / 584L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 1246 settled
Batting Avg
28.6%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1547
Source
PM monthly #377
Trades
687
Markets
1,592
Volume
$19.3M
Specialties
837 settled consensus markets · held side won 47% at an average entry of 48¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where RichieRicher's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 47% of 834 at an average 48¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI −4%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 37%(won 7% of 309)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 40% of 118)
- 50–70¢: 17%(won 56% of 139)
- 70¢ and up: 32%(won 90% of 271)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.