Consensus PnL $5.2K · win rate 21% (67–252, n=319) · was PM monthly #977 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$5.2K
Record
67W / 252L
Win Rate
21.0%
of 319 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2235
Source
PM monthly #977
Trades
286
Markets
356
Volume
$134.5K
Specialties
70 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 24¢- College Football
+64 pts
side won 83% of 36 · avg entry 20¢
ROI +66%
- College Basketball
+67 pts
side won 93% of 15 · avg entry 26¢
ROI +71%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 70%(won 92% of 49)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 85% of 20)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.