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F3
Consensus PnL $594K · win rate 62% (830–501, n=1331) · PM monthly #100 · holds 1 consensus position
0xf3ce7f04...0e5ca57aPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$593.7K
Record
830W / 501L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 1331 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1064
Source
PM monthly #100
Trades
321
Markets
1,406
Volume
$6.3M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit $14K · now 66¢ · in at 45¢against the consensus (Team Yandex)
Specialties
830 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 59¢- Esports
+39 pts
side won 98% of 830 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 85% of 20)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 98% of 200)
- 50–70¢: 46%(won 98% of 385)
- 70¢ and up: 27%(won 100% of 225)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.