Consensus PnL $119K · win rate 63% (251–149, n=400) · PM monthly #183 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$119.2K
Record
251W / 149L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 400 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1021
Source
PM monthly #183
Trades
266
Markets
673
Volume
$3.9M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit $3.7K · now 97¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (46% of 82)
Specialties
369 settled consensus markets · held side won 63% at an average entry of 61¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where StakesForFun's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 7% of 29)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 35% of 85)
- 50–70¢: 37%(won 64% of 135)
- 70¢ and up: 33%(won 95% of 120)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.