Consensus PnL $757K · win rate 58% (1979–1430, n=3409) · PM monthly #88 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$757.0K
Record
1979W / 1430L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 3409 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1274
Source
PM monthly #88
Trades
2,134
Markets
3,650
Volume
$23.8M
Specialties
3,558 settled consensus markets · held side won 58% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+3 pts
side won 58% of 3535 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +2%
Weakest: College Basketball — held side won 20% of 15 at an average 48¢ entry (−28 pts against the price), ROI −34%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 30% of 203)
- 30–50¢: 30%(won 43% of 1056)
- 50–70¢: 48%(won 63% of 1705)
- 70¢ and up: 17%(won 81% of 594)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.