Consensus PnL $35K · win rate 63% (15–9, n=24) · PM monthly #605 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$35.1K
Record
15W / 9L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 24 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#713
Source
PM monthly #605
Record (90 d)
13/13 · 100%
Trades
69
Markets
32
Volume
$220.4K
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 3 on the consensus side (100%)- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat $18K · now 17¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (68% of 27)
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat $17K · now 14¢ · in at 48¢with the consensus (33% of 18)
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs $5.1K · now 49¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (61% of 37)
Specialties
13 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 49¢- NBA
+51 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 54%(won 100% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 46%(won 100% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.