Consensus PnL $211K · win rate 51% (501–485, n=986) · PM monthly #303 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$211.3K
Record
501W / 485L
Win Rate
51.0%
of 986 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1686
Source
PM monthly #303
Trades
100
Markets
1,315
Volume
$4.3M
Specialties
499 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 50¢- Esports
+49 pts
side won 99% of 471 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +50%
- Tennis
+54 pts
side won 100% of 15 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +52%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 97% of 35)
- 30–50¢: 43%(won 99% of 213)
- 50–70¢: 41%(won 99% of 206)
- 70¢ and up: 9%(won 100% of 45)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.