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Consensus PnL $395 · win rate 65% (48–26, n=74) · was PM monthly #932 · holds 1 consensus position
0xef7c9b77...e4118f21Polymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$395.05
Record
48W / 26L
Win Rate
65.0%
of 74 settled
Batting Avg
37.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#945
Source
PM monthly #932
Trades
117
Markets
130
Volume
$862.4K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex $7.7K · now 28¢ · in at 59¢with the consensus (65% of 71)
Specialties
64 settled consensus markets · held side won 77% at an average entry of 62¢- Esports
+12 pts
side won 76% of 58 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 16%(won 0% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 60% of 10)
- 50–70¢: 22%(won 93% of 14)
- 70¢ and up: 47%(won 100% of 30)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.