Consensus PnL $4.4K · win rate 64% (437–249, n=686) · PM monthly #923 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$4.4K
Record
437W / 249L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 686 settled
Batting Avg
92.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#977
Source
PM monthly #923
Record (90 d)
430/462 · 93%
Trades
170
Markets
726
Volume
$1.0M
Specialties
475 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 68¢- Esports
+25 pts
side won 93% of 475 · avg entry 68¢
ROI +21%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 33% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 83% of 42)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 93% of 192)
- 70¢ and up: 50%(won 96% of 238)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.