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77
Consensus PnL $37K · win rate 72% (48–19, n=67) · PM monthly #237 · holds 1 consensus position
0x77d9009e...49b906edPolymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$37.4K
Record
48W / 19L
Win Rate
72.0%
of 67 settled
Batting Avg
72.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#670
Source
PM monthly #237
Trades
198
Markets
138
Volume
$2.0M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex $10K · now 44¢ · in at 56¢with the consensus (66% of 70)
Specialties
73 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 69¢- Esports
+24 pts
side won 93% of 73 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 0% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 75% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 96% of 24)
- 70¢ and up: 58%(won 100% of 42)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.