
Consensus PnL $29K · win rate 64% (21–12, n=33) · was PM monthly #977 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$29.5K
Record
21W / 12L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 33 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1005
Source
PM monthly #977
Record (90 d)
21/28 · 75%
Trades
3
Markets
33
Volume
$142.1K
Specialties
32 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 60¢- Esports
+11 pts
side won 71% of 31 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +19%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 28%(won 67% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 58% of 12)
- 70¢ and up: 34%(won 82% of 11)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.