Consensus PnL $108K · win rate 62% (52438–32336, n=84774) · PM monthly #667 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$108.2K
Record
52438W / 32336L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 84774 settled
Batting Avg
37.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1052
Source
PM monthly #667
Trades
2,338
Markets
172,209
Volume
$7.9M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp $33 · now 0¢ · in at 27¢against the consensus (Down)
- Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown $18 · now 0¢ · in at 36¢against the consensus (Up)
Specialties
37,326 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 58¢- Crypto
+42 pts
side won 100% of 37326 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +43%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 1265)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 100% of 6343)
- 50–70¢: 65%(won 100% of 24142)
- 70¢ and up: 15%(won 100% of 5576)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.