aomendushen008

Consensus PnL $62K · win rate 34% (391–743, n=1134) · PM monthly #802 · no open consensus position

0xd3f1bae3...7bbe7535Polymarket

⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$62.2K

Record

391W / 743L

Win Rate

34.0%

of 1134 settled

Batting Avg

82.6%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#2161

Source

PM monthly #802

Trades

348

Markets

1,924

Volume

$2.7M

Specialties

529 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 76¢

Esports
+21 pts
side won 97% of 527 · avg entry 76¢
ROI +11%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

under 30¢: 8%(won 77% of 43)
30–50¢: 8%(won 95% of 41)
50–70¢: 14%(won 99% of 72)
70¢ and up: 71%(won 100% of 373)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.