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E2

apprentice15

Consensus PnL $90K · win rate 56% (451–352, n=803) · was PM monthly #875 · no open consensus position

0xe23cd5fb...52cc5ae7Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$90.3K

Record

451W / 352L

Win Rate

56.0%

of 803 settled

Batting Avg

50.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#1390

Source

PM monthly #875

Trades

438

Markets

860

Volume

$1.9M

Specialties

600 settled consensus markets · held side won 60% at an average entry of 48¢
  • Soccer

    +12 pts

    side won 60% of 592 · avg entry 48¢

    ROI +3%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 23%(won 44% of 136)
  • 30–50¢: 30%(won 49% of 177)
  • 50–70¢: 32%(won 65% of 189)
  • 70¢ and up: 16%(won 90% of 98)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.