Consensus PnL -$14K · win rate 43% (522–689, n=1211) · was PM monthly #925 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-14.0K
Record
522W / 689L
Win Rate
43.0%
of 1211 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2037
Source
PM monthly #925
Trades
57
Markets
1,359
Volume
$393.0K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsDplus KIA $20 · now 42¢ · in at 38¢against the consensus (Bilibili Gaming)
Specialties
384 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 60¢- Esports
+40 pts
side won 99% of 379 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 100% of 22)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 100% of 91)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 100% of 144)
- 70¢ and up: 33%(won 98% of 127)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.