Consensus PnL $143K · win rate 76% (55523–17596, n=73119) · PM monthly #800 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$143.1K
Record
55523W / 17596L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 73119 settled
Batting Avg
40.2%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#535
Source
PM monthly #800
Trades
2,188
Markets
156,931
Volume
$4.8M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp $14 · now 100¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (71% of 17)
- Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown $4 · now 0¢ · in at 33¢against the consensus (Up)
Specialties
1,381 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 46¢- Crypto
+34 pts
side won 80% of 1381 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +45%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 44%(won 63% of 607)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 86% of 167)
- 50–70¢: 6%(won 87% of 83)
- 70¢ and up: 38%(won 98% of 524)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.