Consensus PnL $479K · win rate 56% (223–173, n=396) · was PM monthly #577 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$479.5K
Record
223W / 173L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 396 settled
Batting Avg
25.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1445
Source
PM monthly #577
Record (90 d)
52/52 · 100%
Trades
813
Markets
546
Volume
$7.7M
Specialties
365 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 58¢- Tennis
+30 pts
side won 89% of 116 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +23%
- NBA
+22 pts
side won 80% of 163 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +15%
- Soccer
+18 pts
side won 76% of 54 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +31%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 33% of 21)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 70% of 56)
- 50–70¢: 58%(won 84% of 211)
- 70¢ and up: 21%(won 90% of 77)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.