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Consensus PnL $2.9K · win rate 39% (1005–1571, n=2576) · PM monthly #866 · no open consensus position
0x8fbd7cf5...7229a959Polymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$2.9K
Record
1005W / 1571L
Win Rate
39.0%
of 2576 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2110
Source
PM monthly #866
Trades
121
Markets
4,075
Volume
$347.4K
Specialties
881 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 49¢- Weather
+50 pts
side won 100% of 881 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +46%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 23%(won 99% of 204)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 100% of 225)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 100% of 273)
- 70¢ and up: 20%(won 100% of 179)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.