Consensus PnL -$15K · win rate 76% (375–121, n=496) · was PM monthly #591 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-14.5K
Record
375W / 121L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 496 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#546
Source
PM monthly #591
Trades
129
Markets
503
Volume
$4.7M
Specialties
365 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 81¢- Tennis
+3 pts
side won 83% of 155 · avg entry 80¢
ROI +5%
- MLB
+8 pts
side won 82% of 56 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +8%
- Soccer
+6 pts
side won 93% of 59 · avg entry 88¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 71% of 59)
- 70¢ and up: 83%(won 89% of 304)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.