Consensus PnL $195K · win rate 64% (348–198, n=546) · PM monthly #396 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$195.5K
Record
348W / 198L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 546 settled
Batting Avg
48.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#985
Source
PM monthly #396
Record (90 d)
405/472 · 86%
Trades
612
Markets
2,471
Volume
$9.4M
Specialties
309 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 80¢- Esports
+20 pts
side won 100% of 309 · avg entry 80¢
ROI +15%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 100% of 24)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 100% of 50)
- 70¢ and up: 75%(won 100% of 233)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.