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B9

ccllar

Consensus PnL $11K · win rate 47% (472–541, n=1013) · was PM monthly #999 · holds 1 consensus position

0xb9d5d5f5...9cfb180aPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$11.5K

Record

472W / 541L

Win Rate

47.0%

of 1013 settled

Batting Avg

40.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#1913

Source

PM monthly #999

Trades

350

Markets

1,160

Volume

$305.5K

Top consensus positions

1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)

Specialties

449 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 55¢
  • Esports

    +43 pts

    side won 98% of 446 · avg entry 55¢

    ROI +40%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 6%(won 86% of 29)
  • 30–50¢: 30%(won 98% of 134)
  • 50–70¢: 43%(won 99% of 194)
  • 70¢ and up: 20%(won 100% of 92)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.