Consensus PnL $8.8K · win rate 57% (123–94, n=217) · was PM monthly #983 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$8.8K
Record
123W / 94L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 217 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1398
Source
PM monthly #983
Record (90 d)
125/126 · 99%
Trades
107
Markets
274
Volume
$390.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichAliaksandra Sasnovich $1.4K · now 94¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (84% of 41)
Specialties
117 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 57¢- NBA
+45 pts
side won 100% of 36 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +45%
- Tennis
+40 pts
side won 100% of 34 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +40%
- College Football
+43 pts
side won 100% of 16 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +44%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 100% of 20)
- 50–70¢: 70%(won 100% of 82)
- 70¢ and up: 11%(won 100% of 13)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.