Consensus PnL $346K · win rate 51% (15220–14338, n=29558) · was PM monthly #993 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$346.3K
Record
15220W / 14338L
Win Rate
51.0%
of 29558 settled
Batting Avg
59.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1674
Source
PM monthly #993
Trades
2,304
Markets
66,785
Volume
$5.4M
Specialties
358 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 50¢- Crypto
+49 pts
side won 99% of 358 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 94% of 17)
- 50–70¢: 95%(won 100% of 339)
- 70¢ and up: 0%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.