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Consensus PnL $53K · win rate 58% (310–229, n=539) · was PM monthly #982 · holds 4 consensus positions
0x3db4c677...2220d69bPolymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$52.6K
Record
310W / 229L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 539 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1292
Source
PM monthly #982
Trades
293
Markets
576
Volume
$681.3K
Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 4 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 WinnerIberian Soul $2.2K · now 0¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (50% of 12)
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves $1.9K · now 100¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (71% of 10)
- Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake PlayoffsIberian Soul $1.8K · now 0¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (36% of 11)
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS $1.4K · now 94¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (64% of 11)
Specialties
491 settled consensus markets · held side won 61% at an average entry of 51¢- Esports
+10 pts
side won 62% of 488 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 17% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 52% of 112)
- 50–70¢: 76%(won 65% of 372)
- 70¢ and up: 0%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.