Consensus PnL -$3.2K · win rate 46% (499–594, n=1093) · was PM monthly #854 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-3.2K
Record
499W / 594L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 1093 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1944
Source
PM monthly #854
Trades
206
Markets
1,379
Volume
$4.4M
Specialties
622 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 48¢- Esports
+37 pts
side won 86% of 622 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +43%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 69% of 45)
- 30–50¢: 49%(won 81% of 302)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 93% of 235)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 98% of 40)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.