Consensus PnL $311K · win rate 67% (239–117, n=356) · PM monthly #92 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$310.9K
Record
239W / 117L
Win Rate
67.0%
of 356 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#857
Source
PM monthly #92
Record (90 d)
207/215 · 96%
Trades
173
Markets
467
Volume
$6.4M
Specialties
190 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 62¢- Esports
+38 pts
side won 100% of 187 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +31%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 18%(won 100% of 34)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 100% of 90)
- 70¢ and up: 32%(won 100% of 61)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.